Todd Ellis

Todd Ellis

University of Tasmania

PhD student
Work Packages
Work Package 1 - Dynamic mapping of fire regimes, past present and future

PhD project: Dynamic mapping and analysis of New South Wales fire regimes: Past, present, and future

Todd will analyse the historical and projected trends in fuel moisture, using it as a proxy for fire potential. He will focus on both the global and finer-scale regional patterns. His regional analyses will include a jumping-off point for a) modelling NSW’s fire history and identifying its climate controls in order to predict regional changes in wildfire risk under different climate projections; and b) modelling NSW’s past fire regime and return intervals in order to reconstruct censored fire histories and benefit government fire management.